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Ahoy, DW! Lots there to chew on; sorry, RL kept me from biting in these couple of days.
Sifting through the numbered paragaphs:
1. Things look good. Though re "This suggests that ST is a dervied attribute of mass", I would prefer to say that it simply suggests the two have the correlation noted, not that ST is a derived attribute of mass. Or do I miss a key point there?
2. So far so good... That is, I can't say that the assumption about how much extra Lifting ST a weightlifter can reasonably add is a "correct" assumption, but it's not jumping out as objectionable either. And any assumption of the "neither good nor bad" persuasion starts falling on the side of "good" when backed by a reasonable-sounding rationale like yours. : ) So forging onward:
3. Man, it's always hard to turn the hodge-podge of weight-lift info out there into game bits, but that never stops us from trying... I too have some Snatch vs Clean & Jerk vs Double-Spasm Quadra Heave ratios that I came up with. Let me dig those up, and see whether they match yours.
4. Glad to see that you're considering both Lifting and Extra Effort. And I agree: the RAW allow bonuses to really pile up, so for a realistic consideration, it's best to choose some flat +X% as the probable standard bonus for record-setting lifts. Until we know better, the arbitrary +25% is as good as any other shot in the dark.
And on to the example: yes, your assumptions do work out nicely for that example.
The upshot of the post, as I see it, is: we now have a nice formula setting a minimum reasonable weight for a given lifting ability in humans, based on some defensible assumptions.
But I'm missing something regarding the main point: the max ST of 18. Is that just working backward from the top weightlifting records? Or are you drawing this conclusion of 18 from human body weight? Something's not registering with me.